Now that we know the fields of both US Masters and Saint Louis Masters, Fabi can take a 20 point lead in #FIDEcircuit over Arjun if he wins both events.
Fabi needs 4th place or better in both events to overtake Arjun.
For those seeking more detailed scenarios on how Arjun can fight back:
If Arjun only plays & wins President's cup, the target for Fabi becomes sole 1st in Saint L and tied 1st in US Masters.
If Arjun only plays & wins Qatar, Fabi will need to win both US events outright.
On how Abdusattorov can fight back:
If Abdusattorov wins both President's cup and Qatar, Fabi will need to win one of the 2 US events and be 2nd in the other to overtake Abdu.
For both Arjun and Abdu, this is not it. All three can both improve at World Rapid and Blitz.
So it's not slam dunk even if Fabi wins both US events. It still goes to World R&B.
2023/3 - Alexey Sarana was Euro Ind. champion; 2023/11 - Serbia was Euro Team champion; 2024/9 - Serbia tied for 2nd in Olympiad before all Euro teams; 2024/11 - Indjic became European Ind. champion. In the last two years - Serbia is the most dominant European chess country! 💪🇷🇸