Life in Denmark now feels so much like it did before the pandemic that it can put visitors on edge, says Lone Simonsen, an epidemiologist at Roskilde University. The country lifted all of its remaining coronavirus restrictions on 10 September. Copenhagen clubs are buzzing, music lovers flock to festivals, and buses are packed with unmasked commuters. The government has given up its power to close schools and shut down the country. “When we have guests now, they feel uncomfortable about how normal everything is,” Simonsen says.
Denmark is a pioneer. As the second coronavirus winter approaches in the Northern Hemisphere, Denmark and a few other countries where vaccines now protect a large percentage of the population from severe disease are entering a momentous transition: from pandemic to endemic COVID-19, when the virus is still present but now faces a population that is mostly immune to it. Researchers are closely watching what happens next, because it could yield valuable information about what lies ahead for the rest of the world.
There are many unknowns: how best to manage the transition out of the public health crisis, how it might go wrong, and exactly what endemicity will look like once it arrives. “Going into a pandemic is hard enough, coming out of it is even harder,” says Jeremy Farrar, an infectious disease researcher who leads the Wellcome Trust. “We don’t just go from a no-vaccine state and horror to a status quo. There’s a transition phase, and I think that will be this winter.”
Denmark has fully vaccinated more than 88% of people older than 18 and an astonishing 97% of those over age 60, the group most vulnerable to serious COVID-19. That allows the country to try to treat SARS-CoV-2 like influenza and other infectious diseases instead of a threat to the entire health system. “We’re thinking of this virus now as a sort of defanged version of the original one. It has gotten its teeth pulled out by the vaccine,” Simonsen says. “What’s left is not much worse than diseases that we’re used to and that we don’t close schools for, like seasonal flu or maybe the 2009 influenza pandemic.”
интересно, сколько времени прошло у большинства датчан со времени второй прививки?
__________________________
не надо шутить с войной
Michael_S: Тест на антитела?
Я бы тоже не прочь, но у нас очень трудно получить направление на такой тест от больничной кассы.
Сейчас вот поинтересовался, где/как можно сделать частным образом. Вроде, не очень сложно и цена умеренная, Но ни там, где я живу ни там, где работаю, этого нету. Конечно, съездить в Тель-Авив несложно. Может и съезжу, но более вероятно, что поленюсь
делал в мае в Асуте, в Хайфе, 300 шекелей, потом долго искали результат.
__________________________
не надо шутить с войной
Люди, которые не привиты и не переболели ковидом, смогут совершать покупки только в магазинах товаров первой необходимости и будут лишены возможности посещать торговые центры, а люди с ковид-сертификатом смогут посещать и другие места торговли, где должен быть обеспечен контроль посетителей. Во всем госсекторе вакцинация будет обязательной, а к занятым в частном секторе требования прививаться будут расширены. Удаленная работа будет требоваться от всех, для кого она возможна.
"Всех учили. Но зачем же ты оказался первым учеником, скотина этакая?"
shcherb:интересно, сколько времени прошло у большинства датчан со времени второй прививки?
В первой половине июня два укола 25% населения. Здесь скорее вопрос сколько у 65+ времени прошло. И тогда могли колоть первую АЗ, вторую мрнк, т.е у какой-то части населения иммунитет может быть более высоким и длительным.
Danish health authorities have reversed a decision to stop offering the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine to under 18s amid fears it was linked to higher rates of heart inflammation in young people.
In a statement on Friday, the Danish Health Agency said the "recommendations have not been changed," adding that both the Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech vaccines were "highly effective vaccines that have an important place in the general vaccination programme in Denmark".
The Danish Health Agency's head of press Tina Gustavsen told the Reuters news agency that earlier indications it had stopped giving the Moderna jab to under-18s were a mistake.
"We've communicated badly in this case," Gustavsen said. "It was simply bad wording".
"We felt there was a need to say that we were not worried. We think it is a good and effective vaccine and we will continue to use it in the Danish programme".
Among patients in a large Israeli health care system who had received at least one dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, the estimated incidence of myocarditis was 2.13 cases per 100,000 persons; the highest incidence of myocarditis (10.69 cases per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 6.93 to 14.46) was reported in male patients between the ages of 16 and 29 years. Most cases of myocarditis were mild or moderate in severity.
Among 304 persons with symptoms of myocarditis, 21 had received an alternative diagnosis. Of the remaining 283 cases, 142 occurred after receipt of the BNT162b2 vaccine; of these cases, 136 diagnoses were definitive or probable. The clinical presentation was judged to be mild in 129 recipients (95%); one fulminant case was fatal. The overall risk difference between the first and second doses was 1.76 per 100,000 persons (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33 to 2.19), with the largest difference among male recipients between the ages of 16 and 19 years (difference, 13.73 per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 8.11 to 19.46). As compared with the expected incidence based on historical data, the standardized incidence ratio was 5.34 (95% CI, 4.48 to 6.40) and was highest after the second dose in male recipients between the ages of 16 and 19 years (13.60; 95% CI, 9.30 to 19.20). The rate ratio 30 days after the second vaccine dose in fully vaccinated recipients, as compared with unvaccinated persons, was 2.35 (95% CI, 1.10 to 5.02); the rate ratio was again highest in male recipients between the ages of 16 and 19 years (8.96; 95% CI, 4.50 to 17.83), with a ratio of 1 in 6637.
SINGAPORE — The vaccines were supposed to be the ticket out of the pandemic. But in Singapore, things did not go according to plan.
The Southeast Asian city-state was widely considered a success story in its initial handling of the coronavirus. It closed its borders, tested and traced aggressively and was one of the first countries in Asia to order vaccines.
A top politician told the public that an 80 percent vaccination rate was the criterion for a phased reopening. Singapore has now fully inoculated 83 percent of its population, but instead of opening up, it is doing the opposite.
In September, with cases doubling every eight to 10 days, the government reinstated restrictions on gatherings. The United States said its citizens should reconsider travel to the country. Long lines started forming at the emergency departments in several hospitals. People were told once again they should work from home.
The country’s experience has become a sobering case study for other nations pursuing reopening strategies without first having had to deal with large outbreaks in the pandemic. For the Singapore residents who believed the city-state would reopen once the vaccination rate reached a certain level, there was a feeling of whiplash and nagging questions about what it would take to reopen if vaccines were not enough.
The vaccines have worked to keep most of the population out of the hospital, with 98.4 percent of cases presenting mild or no symptoms. The deaths have occurred mostly in seniors, usually with comorbidities, and account for 0.2 percent of the cases over the past 28 days.
Я не замечал вообще нападений полиции ни на кого по поводу соблюдения карантинных мер, хотя наверняка было, но уверен, что это не носило массового характера.
shcherb: делал в мае в Асуте, в Хайфе, 300 шекелей, потом долго искали результат.
Мне в Асуте в Рамат-а-хайаль удобней. Там 280 шек и пишут, что дают код, с которым на следующий день можно увидеть результат на их сайте.
Но на следующей неделе не пойду.
Case counts in Vermont, which has continually boasted about high vaccination and low hospitalization and death rates, are the highest during the pandemic. Hospitalizations are approaching the pandemic peak from last winter and September was Vermont’s second-deadliest month during the pandemic.
Vermont’s Republican governor, Phil Scott drew near-universal praise for his early handling of the pandemic, when his calm demeanor and reliance on the science kept his state among the safest. But recently, he’s faced criticism by some, including Democratic leaders of the state Legislature and more than 90 employees of the Vermont Health Department who in August signed a letter urging him to do more to combat the delta wave.
Scott lifted Vermont’s state of emergency in June, when the state became the first to see 80% of its eligible population get at least the first shot. He is now recommending that schools require masks and he’s urging people to wear masks in crowded indoor locations. But he won’t reinstitute required mitigation measures that were in place during the state of emergency.
“We can’t be in a perpetual state of emergency,” Scott said this week.
Dr. Tim Lahey, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Vermont Medical Center in Burlington, said he felt it was important to look at the situation more optimistically. Unlike some others in the region his Vermont hospital is busy, not overwhelmed. People still need to be cautious, but they are not locked down and outside life has a semblance of normality. “We all hate the word ‘delta’ now, but has vaccination made it so we can withstand the brunt of delta with losing fewer of our neighbors while still having the quality of life that we enjoy in Vermont?” he said. “Yeah.”
Почему-то вдруг вспомнили гипотезу лета 2020 года, что Sars-Cov-2 произошел от шахтеров, заразившихся в Юньнане в 2012 году; вирус в них мутировал, а образцы затем хранились в Ухане, откуда вирус сбежал.
Оказывается, из-за этого вебинара BMJ
155,092 COVID-19 cases and 14,862 hospitalizations occurred. Estimated VE for cases declined contemporaneously across age, products, and time-cohorts, from high levels beginning May 1 (1.8% Delta variant prevalence), to a nadir around July 10 (85.3% Delta), with limited changes thereafter (>95% Delta). Decreases were greatest for Pfizer-BioNTech (-24.6%, -19.1%, -14.1% for 18-49, 50-64 years, and ≥65 years, respectively), and similar for Moderna (-18.0%, -11.6%, -9.0%, respectively) and Janssen (-19.2%, -10.8, -10.9%, respectively). VE for hospitalization for adults 18-64 years was >86% across cohorts, without time trend. Among persons ≥65 years, VE declined from May to August for Pfizer-BioNTech (95.0% to 89.2%) and Moderna (97.2% to 94.1%). VE was lower for Janssen, without trend, ranging 85.5%-82.8%.
Conclusions: Declines in VE for cases may have been primarily driven by factors other than waning. VE for hospitalizations remained high, with modest declines limited to Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna recipients ≥65 years, supporting targeted booster dosing recommendations.
В Воронеже и области с завтрашнего дня на дистанционку переходят школьники 5-8-х, а также 10-х классов (почему-то 9 и 11 классы не тронули), вузам, техникумам и прочим ПТУ рекомендовано то же самое, но пока не обязательно, лица старше 65 лет на карантин, который вряд ли многие будут соблюдать
Нашли способ употребления гречки, которая по-прежнему у нас в огромных количествах.
Мешаем её с красной икрой в пропорции пять к одному и едим.
Для постсоветского менталитета наверно идеальное блюдо.
Лучше может быть только гречка с чёрной икрой.
__________________________
pr.ai PRAI Portal of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence
Мой собственный рецепт - сваренную гречку разогреть на сковороде разбив туда пару яиц и размешав это все. Я так в студенчестве остатки вчерашней гречки поедал.
